Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

The Indian stock market rally since March 2023 lows has been driven more by P/E expansion rather than trailing earnings growth, indicating high earnings growth expectations ahead, analysts said.

The Nifty 50 index expanded 31% from the lows of March 2023, as against a trailing earnings expansion of around 18% during the same time, thereby resulting in valuations expanding from a reasonable 17.5x to an elevated 20x on a forward earnings basis, analysts at ICICI Securities said.

The rally in the broader market was even higher compared to their earnings expansion with midcaps, smallcaps and microcap stocks giving returns of 62%, 73% and 100%, respectively, since March 2023 lows.

Also Read: IT sector outlook: Worst may not be over; Nirmal Bang sees earnings downside risk for FY25-26

Meanwhile, analysts believe the positive surprise in India’s GDP growth for the December quarter at 8.4% sets the stage for an earnings upgrade.

“Driven by the ‘investment rate’, real GDP growth for Q3FY24 was much higher (8.4% YoY) than consensus estimates, thereby resulting in consensus upward revision to FY24 GDP. This could potentially lead to upward earnings revisions – such expectations have begun egging stock prices on, which are already stretched in terms of valuations, thereby thinning the ‘margin of safety’," ICICI Securities’ analysts Vinod Karki and Niraj Karnani said in a report.

They believe upward growth revision is likely to continue to emanate from cyclical and capital intensive space, as it has been for the past one year, thereby resulting in their outperformance.

Also Read: Stock market today: How to tweak your portfolio before Lok Sabha election 2024

Our one-year forward (March 2025) target for Nifty 50 stands at 24,800 and implies a 10% upside against the long-term expected returns of ~14%, analysts said.

Over the past one year, for the largecap space, the FY24/FY25 aggregate earnings forecasts have been revised upwards for the cyclical and capital-intensive sectors while the aggregate earnings of the defensive sector have been downgraded, they noted.

ICICI Securities’ top picks from its coverage universe include Larsen & Toubro (L&T), BHEL, Jindal Steel & Power, Jindal Stainless, Astra Microwave, ONGC, HPCL, GAIL India, Ambuja Cements, Grasim Industries, Archean Chemical, Greenpanel Industries, Delhivery, Cipla, M&M, Balkrishna Industries, Zomato, IndusInd Bank and SBI Life Insurance.

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Published: 12 Mar 2024, 10:52 AM IST

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities (2024)

FAQs

Nifty 50 target for March 2025 at 24,800, says ICICI Securities? ›

According to experts, our one-year forward objective for the Nifty 50, which is set for March 2025, is 24,800. This represents a 10% upside against the long-term predicted returns of around 14%.

What is the Nifty 50 prediction for 2025? ›

Our one-year forward (March 2025) target for Nifty 50 stands at 24,800 and implies a 10% upside against the long-term expected returns of ~14%, analysts said.

What is the share price target of Icici Securities in 2025? ›

Summary of ISEC Share Price Forecast for 2025

With favorable market conditions, the mid-year price target for ICICI Securities Ltd could reach ₹1069. By the end of 2025, the price target for ICICI Securities Ltd is expected to potentially reach ₹1276, considering bullish market trends.

What is the target of Nifty 50 in 2024? ›

Axis Securities had set a target of 23,000 for the Nifty 50 by December 2024, while Goldman Sachs aimed at 23,500. With the Nifty 50 currently hovering around the 22,750 mark, it is 1 percent and 3 percent away from reaching the projections put forth by these brokerage firms.

What is the target of Nifty 50 in 2030? ›

In an interaction with Business Today TV, the veteran market watcher said the benchmark equity index NSE Nifty could reach the 50,000 mark by 2030-31 and 75,000 mark in the next 10 years, citing a broad-based recovery in the economy which is happening right now.

What is the Nifty 50 prediction for 11 March 2024? ›

Nifty 50 outlook

As such we can expect the Nifty to reverse higher again from around 22,350 and move back up to 22,500. Key resistance to watch is around 22,530. A strong break above it will see the Nifty surging to new highs going forward.

What is the Nifty 50 prediction for 2040? ›

gdp grows for 6 % in next 10 yrs + 4 % inflation and then in next 10 yrs gdp growth of around 5 % + 3% inflation then nifty in 2040 can see levels around 60 thousand to 70 thousand .

What is the target price of Icici Securities? ›

We upgrade the stock to BUY (from Hold) with an unchanged target price of INR 3,469 based on 15x FY26E EPS of INR 231.

Which share is best for 2025 in India? ›

10 Multibagger Penny Stocks for 2025
Name of the ShareBook Value (₹)YTD (%)
Exide Industries148.6963.97
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Ltd33.8062.79
South Indian Bank33.8743.88
Urja Global Ltd2.6353.27
6 more rows
Dec 20, 2023

Is it good time to buy ICICI Bank share? ›

ICICI Bank has TTM P/E ratio 16.43 as compared to the sector P/E of 9.19.There are 39 analysts who have initiated coverage on ICICI Bank. There are 23 analysts who have given it a strong buy rating & 13 analysts have given it a buy rating. 0 analysts have given the stock a sell rating.

What is the return of Nifty 50 in 15 years? ›

Nifty 50 Total Return index Performance

The Nifty 50 TR index has returned 11.8% CAGR, 17.6% CAGR and 28.4% CAGR over the last 15 years, 5 years and 1 year respectively. Volatility has been 22% over the last 15 years, 18.2% over the last 5 years and 15.8% over the last 1 year. All data are as of December 15, 2021.

Is Nifty 50 good for long term? ›

Well, NIFTY 50 can be an excellent way to invest for the long term and build wealth. It gives you a unique opportunity to diversify your investments across the most successful players in the market with much-desired flexibility to enter and exit.

Is NIFTY Next 50 good for long term investment? ›

By investing in the NIFTY Next 50, super long-term investors can gain exposure to the evolving Indian market and tap into the potential of emerging industries. It's important to note that investing in the NIFTY Next 50 does come with some risks.

What will be Nifty in 2035? ›

Vikas Khemani projects India's corporate profitability to reach $1 trillion by 2035, potentially boosting Nifty to around 1 lakh. He highlights the growth opportunities across various sectors and the transformative potential of long-term investments in India's evolving market.

Will Bank Nifty hit $50,000? ›

On April 5, Kunal Shah of LKP Securities mentioned that the Nifty Bank has the potential to test new all-time highs and even touch the mark of 50,000. Aggressive put writing has been seen at lower strikes, thereby establishing a base around levels of 48,200-48,000 on the downside.

Which stock best for 2030 in India? ›

Target 2030
S.No.NameCMP Rs.
1.PCBL Ltd265.55
2.L T Foods203.05
3.Harsha Engg Intl406.05
4.Sarda Energy228.20
20 more rows

Will Nifty correct in 2024? ›

As the index has already seen a 5% correction in January (usual bull market correction) followed by two months of correction, the brokerage expects the index to maintain the same rhythm and head towards 23,400 level by June 2024, driven by BFSI, auto, capital goods, and metal.

What is the return of Nifty 50 over 5 years? ›

The Nifty 50 TR index has returned 11.8% CAGR, 17.6% CAGR and 28.4% CAGR over the last 15 years, 5 years and 1 year respectively. Volatility has been 22% over the last 15 years, 18.2% over the last 5 years and 15.8% over the last 1 year. All data are as of December 15, 2021.

What is the stock market forecast for 2025? ›

The S&P 500 still has 30% upside between now and the end of 2025, according to Capital Economics. "Our end-2025 forecast of 6,500 for the index is premised on its valuation reaching a similar level to its peak during the dot com mania," Capital Economics said.

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