Do investments do well in a recession?
Key Takeaways. Recessions are not the time to abandon your investment strategy. Bonds and cash have historically outperformed most stocks during recessions.
Sticking to your long-term plan and staying invested is vital no matter what the economy is doing. Although recessions are unnerving, they may let you take advantage of potential opportunities. That way, you don't miss out when markets recover.
In some cases—particularly if you have a longer investment horizon that will give your assets time to recover from any losses during the recession—you may benefit from leaving your portfolio alone.
This may seem obvious, but it's best to avoid withdrawing large amounts from your portfolio during a recession. When stock values have declined, selling shares to cover everyday living expenses can meaningfully eat into your portfolio's long-term growth potential.
Treasury Bonds
Investors often gravitate toward Treasurys as a safe haven during recessions, as these are considered risk-free instruments. That's because they are backed by the U.S. government, which is deemed able to ensure that the principal and interest are repaid.
Although the government has stepped in to contain the damage caused by the bank failures and ensure account holders can access their funds, inflation and interest rates remain high, so the threat of a recession persists. Generally, money kept in a bank account is safe—even during a recession.
Stocks of highly-leveraged companies
Companies carrying high levels of debt on their balance sheets should be avoided during a recession. The price of a highly indebted company is more likely to fall during a recession.
The phrase means that having liquid funds available can be vital because of the flexibility it provides during a crisis. While cash investments -- such as a money market fund, savings account, or bank CD -- don't often yield much, having cash on hand can be invaluable in times of financial uncertainty.
Don't: Take On High-Interest Debt
It's best to avoid racking up high-interest debt during a recession. In fact, the smart move is to slash high-interest debt so you've got more cash on hand. Chances are your highest-interest debt is credit card debt.
The worst thing you can do to your 401(k) is to cash out if the market crashes. Market downturns are generally short and minimal compared to the rebounds that follow. As long as you hold on to your investments during a bear market, you haven't lost anything.
How do you not lose money in a recession?
- Revisit your budget. Keeping close tabs on your budget is a cornerstone of good financial health, especially when inflation is high. ...
- Pad your emergency savings. ...
- Tackle debt. ...
- Consider staying invested. ...
- Maintain focus on your goals.
Equity Sectors
On the negative side, energy and infrastructure stocks have been the hardest-hit in recent recessions. Companies in these sectors are acutely sensitive to swings in demand. Financials stocks also can suffer during recessions because of a rising default rate and shrinking net interest margins.
If you have money in a checking, saving or other depository account, it is protected from financial downturns by the FDIC. Beyond that, investment products are more exposed to risk, but you can still take some steps to protect yourself. Here's what you need to know.
Increasing your debt
Even though recessions may lower interest rates on personal loans, avoid taking on more debt. Instead, put your energy and money toward paying off your existing debts.
- Seek Out Core Sector Stocks. During a recession, you might be inclined to give up on stocks, but experts say it's best not to flee equities completely. ...
- Focus on Reliable Dividend Stocks. ...
- Consider Buying Real Estate. ...
- Purchase Precious Metal Investments. ...
- “Invest” in Yourself.
- Health care. Medical professionals tend to be essential, and within health care, there are roles for just about every education and experience level. ...
- Public safety. ...
- Education. ...
- Law. ...
- Finance. ...
- Mental health. ...
- Utilities. ...
- Trade.
Stock | Implied upside from Feb. 21 close |
---|---|
Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) | 6.3% |
Accenture PLC (ACN) | 3.6% |
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS) | 12.8% |
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) | 11.5% |
Putting money in savings accounts, money market accounts, and CDs keeps your money safe in an FDIC-insured bank account (or NCUA-insured credit union account). Alternatively, invest in the stock market with a broker.
You want to protect your hard earned money, but where is the safety place to keep wealth during a depression? You have options such as the bank, bank safe deposit boxes, or the most secure method: private vaults.
Historically, the industries considered to be the most defensive and better placed to fare reasonably during recessions are utilities, health care, and consumer staples.
What was the safest investment during the Great Depression?
Many people who owned stocks that went down a lot would have been OK eventually, except they bought on margin and were ruined. The best performing investments during the Depression were government bonds (many corporations stopped paying interest on their bonds) and annuities.
Avoid Panicking About a Potential Recession
Just hearing about a potential recession may leave you feeling very anxious — or even cause you to make unwise money moves. Ramsey's suggestion is to remember that you're always in control of your finances, even if the economy isn't in good shape.
GOBankingRates consulted quite a few finance experts and asked them this question and they all said basically the same thing: You need three to six months' worth of living expenses in an easily accessible savings account. The exact amount of cash needed depends on one's income tier and cost of living.
As Buffett famously wrote in a 2008 op-ed for The New York Times: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.” This essentially means that when others are fearful of investing money — like ahead of or during a recession — you should take advantage by scooping up stocks and other assets at ...
The bounce-back from the 2008 crash took five and a half years, but an additional half year to regain your purchasing power.